In this blog post, I am going to explain the Banks’ role in the coming real estate collapse in Dickinson, North Dakota. I believe that the Banks will be 20% of the cause for the coming real estate collapse in Dickinson.
The price of oil dropping from over $100 per barrel down to $40 per barrel in late 2014 and early 2015 is what caused the oil boom to come to an end in North Dakota. The oil companies did not want to pump oil out of the ground, perform exploration, and drill new oil wells if they could not make a profit. The number of operating oil drill rigs in North Dakota went from over 250, down to less than 50.
About 70% to 80% of the oil field jobs went away in North Dakota after the end of the oil boom in 2015. 70% to 80% of the out-of-state workers returned to the states where they came from. I believe that the end of the oil boom in North Dakota will be 30% of the cause of the real estate collapse in Dickinson, North Dakota.
What North Dakotans should realize, is that 20% of the cause of the coming real estate collapse in Dickinson, is how local people treated the out-of-state workers. There are some things that North Dakotans never understood. From 2007 through 2014, many areas in the United States were in a recession. It wasn’t the prospering people with jobs who came to North Dakota during the oil boom, it was the people who were having financial difficulty or were completely broke.
The majority of people who came to North Dakota during the oil boom, they didn’t have very much money or any money, that is why they came in the first place. When they got here, old one bedroom apartments that had recently been $300 per month, were now $1,500 per month. Many people slept in their vehicles at Wal-Mart, Tiger Truck Stop, and Patterson Lake. Many people slept in the bushes, under bridges, along the railroad right-of-way, and on canal banks in Dickinson. There was no homeless shelter in Dickinson.
Stark County residents, politicians, business owners, and property owners did not want Man-Camps, temporary oil field housing, in Stark County, so they were not permitted. These temporary portable housing units, could have been set up in a matter of months to alleviate the housing shortage in Dickinson. It appeared that the end goal of the local people, was to force the out-of-state workers to have to rent, lease, or purchase the existing locally owned housing, or new housing that they would build.
The new apartments that were built in Dickinson, they rented for $2,000 to $3,000 per month. That’s $24,000 to $36,000 per year in rent, that wasn’t even for something they would own, that money was just gone. All of the out-of-state workers felt like they were being gouged. The cost of rent, and the way that the out-of-state workers were treated by the local people, the local company owners, the local co-workers, the local Police, made the out-of-state workers make up their minds that they would leave North Dakota, and always think badly of North Dakota.
Another way to put it, is like this, thousands of out-of-state workers who left where they came from because they were making little or no money, would have willingly made North Dakota their permanent home, if they would not have been gouged so bad on housing, and been treated with hostility by local people. The funny thing is, the desire of the property owners to make a killing in a hurry, is one of the primary reasons why there is going to be a real estate collapse in Dickinson, they drove everyone away.
Something else that is funny, is that because Stark County did not permit Man-Camps, temporary oil field housing units, and instead wanted there to be construction of new apartment buildings, town homes, and houses, the occupancy rates at the new apartment buildings and old apartment buildings is now about 50%.
If Stark County would have permitted temporary Man-Camps to operate for three years, and then not renewed their permits when the oil boom was over, the occupancy rates at apartment buildings in Dickinson might now be at 80%, with higher rents, and a higher demand for houses. I am going to put 20% of the cause of the coming real estate collapse in Dickson on the refusal to permit temporary Man-Camps in Stark County, which has led to an over supply of apartments, town homes, and houses in Dickinson.
So far, I have listed the causes of the coming real estate collapse in Dickinson as: 30% end of oil boom; 20% gouging and mistreatment of out-of-state workers which drove them out of North Dakota; 20% denial of temporary Man-Camps which resulted in an over supply of apartments, town homes, and houses.
I began this blog post by stating that 20% of the cause of the coming real estate collapse in Dickinson will be the Banks. The Bank owners know that the oil boom has ended, that 70% to 80% of the oil field jobs have gone away, that 70% to 80% of the out-of-state workers have returned to the states where they came from, that there is an over supply of housing in Dickinson, and that the occupancy rates at the new apartment buildings, and the old apartment buildings is now at about 50%.
Despite what the Chambers of Commerce, politicians, business owners, real estate agents, real estate developers, property owners, and other spokespeople say, or what newspapers, trade journals, and magazines write about the oil boom coming back, or the local economy growing, the Bank owners have a different view, which they aren’t openly sharing.
In my previous blog post, I wrote about my recent experience, and my two neighbors’ recent experience in trying to obtain a home loan with local banks in Dickinson. Even though my two neighbors could demonstrate the required income level, income history, and a stable job history in Dickinson, they were still turned down for a home loan.
In other parts of the country, myself and my two neighbors would have been given a home loan based on income level, credit history, and purchase price of the home. What is different about Dickinson, is that there is an over supply of housing, and Dickinson is just coming down from an oil boom.
The owners of the local banks in Dickinson, in my case for instance, where several local banks told me that they were instructed to not loan money on any manufactured home no matter how much land was involved, no matter what, indicates to me that the local bank owners expect to be facing a great deal of home loan foreclosures.
Getting to the point, if you don’t already see it for yourself, is that if the local bank owners in Dickinson don’t want to grant many or any home loans, what do you think that this will do to the real estate market? Who is going to be able to sell their $100k, $200k, $300k, $400k home in Dickinson, if no bank will grant a home loan to a buyer?
Will it matter if your home is appraised at $200k or $300k, if no one can buy it?
End of oil boom, 70% to 80% of out-of-state workers leaving, over supply of housing and occupancy rates of 50%, and Bank owners not wanting to grant home loans, what do you think is going to happen to the price of housing in Dickinson?